Unit content
Continuous random variables and probability density functions
A continuous random variable is modeled over a continuous range of values. Instead of assigning probability to individual points, its distribution is described by a probability density function (PDF).
A density $f_X(x)$ satisfies
$$f_X(x)\ge0$$
and
$$\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}f_X(x),dx=1.$$
Probability is area under the density
For an interval $[a,b]$,
$$P(a\le X\le b)=\int_a^b f_X(x),dx.$$
Thus probability is represented by area under the density curve.
Density is not probability at a point
For a continuous model,
$$P(X=x)=0$$
for every individual value $x$. This does not mean the value is impossible; it means a single point has zero width and therefore zero area.
For the same reason,
$$P(a<X<b)=P(a\le X\le b).$$
Including or excluding finitely many endpoints does not change the probability.
Example: constant density
If
$$f_X(x)=\frac12\qquad 0\le x\le2$$
and zero elsewhere, then
$$P(0.5\le X\le1.5) =\int_{0.5}^{1.5}\frac12,dx =\frac12.$$
The height of a density describes probability per unit of the variable; only an integral over a range gives probability.